In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
Americans over 65 are more acutely concerned, but not dramatically so, than younger people. “Extremely/very concerned” among those 65+ is 45% vs. 39% for those 30-64 and 25% for those under 30…. Democrats more concerned: 51% of Democrats vs. 25% of Republicans are “extremely/very concerned.”...
Biden is polling the same percentage Hillary Clinton received in 2016 (48%) and Trump is under polling his 2016 popular vote by 4 points (46%). ...
Good feelings on the economy are subsiding––down 6 points from December, when 53% said the economy was excellent or good....
Biden’s national lead over Sanders keeps getting wider. A month ago in this poll, Sanders was leading Biden by 12 points. Now Biden is winning by 29 points. Quite a turnaround....
49% disapprove of Trump's handling of the coronavirus outbreak and 46% say his policy is not taking the risks seriously enough. ...
Sessions is now the underdog in his Senate comeback bid. Former Auburn coach Tuberville posts a solid runoff lead over the former senator and Trump AG. This poll also finds that 45% of Republican primary voters believe President Trump opposes Sessions’ election, while 16% disagree....
National Democratic Nomination Standings: Biden now holds a solid national lead over Sanders. In the Quinnipiac poll, Biden wins men by 17 points and women by 20 points. Biden also wins white college grads by 34 points…. In the CNN poll, Biden beats Sanders 57-31...
[vc_row css_animation="" row_type="row" use_row_as_full_screen_section="no" type="full_width" angled_section="no" text_align="left" background_image_as_pattern="without_pattern"][vc_column][vc_column_text] Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, March 9 TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45% Same as Friday RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 44% (Reuters, The Economist, Politico) to 48% (Rasmussen). President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 53%...
This is the first national poll of Democratic primary voters since Warren withdraw and it shows Biden with a substantial lead over Sanders. Also:Biden has the momentum: A poll taken three days before this one, when Bloomberg and Warren were still in the mix, had Biden...
Yes, 61%. That’s not a misprint. This poll was conducted Wednesday. Of the nearly one-third of the electorate that has already voted in Florida, Biden leads with 53% and of those who plan to vote, he leads with 64%. Biden is getting 58% of whites, 68%...