Survey research can help organizations better understand how elites think about important issues, improve their organization’s communications, and evaluate their own organization’s performance. Elite audiences are professionals with speci...
In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
The political landscape in Washington, D.C. has always been fast-paced, but the new realities of the second Trump White House have highlighted just how quickly developments can unfold. For organizations aiming to track, influence, and advocate on national public policy, real-time insights into shifting opinions...
As the 2024 election races to a conclusion, tracking the latest polling trends is crucial for anyone looking to understand the shifting political landscape. At Certus Insights, we're committed to providing timely, accurate, and insightful data to keep our readers informed. Our political polling newsletter,...
Surveys are powerful tools for gathering feedback, measuring satisfaction, identifying problems, and discovering opportunities among internal audiences such as members, customers, employees, or stakeholders. But getting these projects launched can be daunting. Follow these ten valuable tips to get the most helpful data from member...
Survey research can help organizations better understand how elites think about important issues, improve their organization's communications, and evaluate their own organization's performance. Elite audiences are professionals with specific credentials, job titles, job functions, knowledge, work experience, news consumption habits, or a combination of those criteria....
In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling average had Joe Biden leading +7 points, higher than the +3...
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 46% Same as yesterday RON’S COMMENT: Election Day and President Trump’s average approval rating is 46%––the exact same percentage of the popular vote he received in 2016––and may receive again?…. Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 42% (Reuters) to 49%...
How do you analyze an ax fight? -- Last night’s debate was a chaotic mess, a milestone that will mark the collapse of civility in American politics. Applying the normal, staid tools of analysis won’t do it justice. -- Nevertheless, I will try. ...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
Based on these two polls, there was a Trump bounce, and a tightening of Biden’s trial heat margin. Of course, we don’t know how long this bounce will last or whether other polls will show something different...