In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania were critical to Trump’s election in 2016. He carried all three by very small margins. In this polling, Democrats lead Michigan and Pennsylvania, but Trump wins Wisconsin. These polls were conducted by Quinnipiac. Their polls often show Democrats doing better than...
Last Night's DebateThis was the bloodiest debate we’ve seen, the kind of circular firing squad that weakens Democrats for November. Michael Bloomberg was everybody’s target, everybody’s point of contrast. He was rusty and his rivals were on fire. Bloomberg seemed surprised and annoyed by the ferocity...
Seven polls today, with Sanders building up a national lead across the board. Biden is now struggling to hold onto second place. Across today’s polling, Sanders ranges from 24% to 32%, Biden ranges from 15% to 22% and Bloomberg ranges from 12% to 20%. Bloomberg...
The average of these four polls show "right direction" to be nearly 39%. Over the past year, "right direction" has gone up 4.5 points and "wrong track" has gone down 4 points. Improved "right direction" numbers are good news for incumbents. ...
RON’S COMMENT: In this national poll, Sanders is pulling away from the pack, with Bloomberg rising to second place. Sanders gets 46% from the progressive left and 14% from moderates. Bloomberg gets 12% from the progressive left and 29% from moderates. Biden gets 7% of the progressive left...
This national Morning Consult poll was conducted Wednesday, so it reflects initial reactions to the New Hampshire primary. Key findings: Compared to the same poll that was taken before New Hampshire, Sanders is up 4 points, Biden down 3, Bloomberg up 1, Warren down 1...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appealing progressive in her or...
Biden is holding a lead in North Carolina, but it’s not a big lead. Sanders is second and Bloomberg third. CAVEAT: These results may be stale. Much of this poll’s interviewing was conducted before Iowa and all of it was conducted before New Hampshire. The...
Three candidates won New Hampshire: Bernie Sanders, because he got the most votes; Pete Buttigieg, because he came close in a state that Sanders won with 60% four years ago; and Amy Klobuchar, because she had a last-minute surge. Two candidates lost New Hampshire: Joe...
The last in a string of New Hampshire Democratic Primary Polling has Sanders leading and Buttigieg second. Biden is third. Caveat––this CNN poll from New Hampshire was conducted Thursday to Sunday, which means some of the interviews do not reflect reactions to Friday’s...