In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
T: Our New Hampshire average today is based on six polls conducted Tuesday to Sunday. The first two numbers in bold are the two most recent tracking polls which were conducted Saturday and Sunday. Let’s look at the trend: Before the Iowa caucus in the latest...
In the National Democratic Primaries: Sanders is first and Buttigieg second in today's New Hampshire average…. Since yesterday in the Boston Globe tracker, Sanders is -1 and Buttigieg is +4. Since yesterday in the WHDH tracker, Sanders is +1 and Buttigieg is +2…. The Monmouth...
22% of Democrats, 31% of independents and 48% of Republicans say the Senate trial was fair and unbiased. Also, 52% think additional witnesses should have been called and 36% say additional witnesses were not needed....
Everybody who has touched the impeachment issue––on both sides––receive net negative ratings on how they handled it. he average of the three most recent New Hampshire polls has Sanders ahead with Biden and Buttigieg vying for second place and Warren and Klobuchar battling for...
Last night’s debacle, if nothing else, will bend the nomination arc more toward an open convention. It appears Iowa’s caucus turnout was less than spectacular, closer to 2016 than 2008. That’s a disappointment for Democrats. The race was unsettled until the end. There was a...
Iowa Caucus: Three Iowa polls and one constant: Sanders tops all of them…. Civiqs shows Sanders first with Warren second. Emerson shows Sanders first and Biden second. CBS has Sanders and Biden even…. Biden’s vote spread poll to poll is a whopping 10 points…. When...
Which team do you want to win the Super Bowl: the Kansas City Chiefs, the San Francisco 49ers, or don't you care who wins the Super Bowl? Chiefs: 26% 49ers: 21% Don’t care: 50% RON’S COMMENT: What’s interesting is that 50% don’t care. The poll also finds...
BIG STATE PRIMARIES: Florida:Biden still holds a lock on Florida. Bloomberg has zoomed into second place. Among whites, Biden leads Bloomberg 33-20. Among blacks, Biden leads Bloomberg 57-13. Among Hispanics, Biden leads Bloomberg 36-21…. Bloomberg’s greatest strength is in the following areas: West Palm Beach...
In the new Lunchtime Politics Boxscore––which averages the four most recent national polls in the presidential race––Bloomberg does best against Trump and Biden follows. We will update the boxscore every time a new poll is added. For the IOWA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUS: wo polls, two...
RON’S COMMENT: Americans are broadly satisfied with overall quality of life, opportunity for a person to get ahead and the nation's economy. But, they’re broadly dissatisfied with the moral and ethical climate, race relations, immigration, federal taxes, availability of affordable healthcare, the way income and...