In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
This Iowa poll has gotten a good bit of coverage this weekend. It has four candidates in the top tier with Sanders running first. Let’s look at internal data for Iowa's Democratic caucusgoers: 55% think the winner of the Iowa Democratic caucus should be a candidate...
Americans hold seemingly contradictory opinions on foreign involvement––while there is strong conceptual agreement that the U.S. is engaged in too many foreign conflicts, when the question is made more specific, there is solid majority agreement that the U.S. needs to be involved to support...
39% of voters say they are confident in Donald Trump's ability to deal wisely with an international crisis, while 55% say they are uneasy about his approach. This is not good news for Trump––even though 44% approve of his overall job performance (based on today's...
A majority of voters disapprove of Trump's handling of Iran. 8% of Democrats, 39% of independents and 87% of Republicans approve of Trump’s handling of Iran. This poll was mostly completed before Iran’s retaliatory actions had been announced last night…. In this sounding, there...
At the risk of getting ahead of ourselves, here’s a national poll of Republicans showing who they would consider in the 2024 race for the party’s presidential nomination. As you can see, Pence leads the GOP field. But, when you add the combined support...
Biden is back in the game in Iowa, tying Sanders and Buttigieg for first place in this new survey. The poll also finds only 31% of voters say they’ve definitely made up their minds––which means two-thirds of the electorate could still shift…. Safe or exciting?...
Do you believe the U.S. Senate will or will not conduct a fair and unbiased trial of Donald Trump? Will conduct a fair and unbiased trial: 37% Will not conduct a fair and unbiased trial: 47% Not sure: 16% RON’S COMMENT: Most voters do not think...
49% of Democrats, 49% of independents and 59% of Republicans say the 2010s were a good decade. While 69% of voters say it was a good decade for them and their families, 63% say the United States became less respected in the world, 39% say...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of power brokers deciding...
This poll has three Democrats leading Trump by modest to slight margins. Biden continues to do best. Note in the polling that Trump does not exceed the 46% he received in the actual 2016 election. The following internals show voter group support for each candidate: ...