In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
No losers last night. All of the candidates gave the debate their best. Amy Klobuchar, who is showing a little life in some polls, helped herself the most. She stood out more than usual. Let’s watch her standing in Iowa. This was Joe Biden’s best debate....
I'm going to list people who have said they will run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that person is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with....
U.S. voters lean positive on Merkel, Trudeau and Macron and heavily negative on Putin. Johnson is close…. Trudeau’s favorability is much higher among Democrats than Republicans (65% vs. 29%). The same is true for Macron (52% vs. 19%) and Merkel (62% vs. 26%). On the...
Is this more evidence that impeachment is helping Trump’s re-election? In October, Biden was beating Trump by 7 points in this poll, now he’s beating him by 5. In October, Warren was beating the president by 2 points, now she’s losing to him by...
Bad news for Warren. Compared to the Fox News poll from late October, she is down 8, Biden is down 1 and Sanders is up 1. This is the best Klobuchar has done in a national poll since October when she hit 5% in a...
fter he’s spent $100 million on ads targeting Democrats, Bloomberg still rates slightly net negative. Last week, he rated 36% favorable/37% unfavorable. Since then, his favorability rating slipped a point and his unfavorable number didn’t budge…. During the same time, Patrick improved his position, moving...
RON’S COMMENT: While Trump beats all Democrats in Iowa, his margin over Buttigieg is smallest––more evidence that Buttigieg is deepening his base in the Midwest…. Trump beat Hillary Clinton in Iowa in 2016 by more than 9 points. Democrats have won the state in...
RON’S COMMENT: Support for both impeachment and removal falls short of a majority of voters which, despite pluralities in favor, makes this a tricky issue for Democrats…. Democrats also have no momentum on the issue: A month ago in this same poll, 49% favored impeachment...
Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 40% (Quinnipiac) to 50% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 45%...
60% of voters believe that Russia interfered with the 2016 US Presidential election. Of those who believe this, 64% say it affected the outcome, which equals 38% of all voters who say Russia interfered and the interference affected the outcome...