In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
RON’S COMMENT: Despite the impeachment controversy, President Trump's job rating holds steady. Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 40% (Politico, Quinnipiac) to 52% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 44%...
Thr Axios poll of college students includes Republican and Democratic candidates. It shows Sanders is the top choice with Trump running second. Another way to look at it is Trump and other Republicans (not listed) get a total of 19% and the Democrats, combined, get...
Based on the average of these three polls, Biden holds his national lead with Sanders second and Warren third: The Politico poll shows Biden down 1, Sanders down 1 and Bloomberg up 3 since their last survey. The Hill poll has Biden up 1, Sanders down 3,...
Numbers are bouncing around. Warren keeps sliding and Buttigieg keeps moving up. Biden's numbers are all over the place. Sanders is generally up. Let’s look at the trends–– Since the last Quinnipiac poll a month ago, Warren has plummeted 14 points, Biden is up 3,...
The new Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll shows a four-way battle in New Hampshire with Sanders first and Biden slumping to fourth. Also, 43% say they might change their minds––which means anything could still happen…. Interestingly, 68% of voters who pick a candidate say they’d vote...
39% of all voters, 5% of Democrats, 31% of independents and 79% of Republicans support Trump’s policies most or all of the time. 50% of all voters, 84% of Democrats, 37% of independents and 9% of Republicans oppose Trump’s policies most or all of the...
RON’S COMMENT: This Emerson College poll of voters nationwide will surely raise eyebrows: Trump leads three of the four Democrats tested against him. And: Sanders and Warren do better against the president than does Biden. If this is accurate, and is confirmed by other polls,...
Another poll showing Buttigieg leading in Iowa. This one has Biden’s support dwindling to 12%, in fourth place. In the four most recent polls, Buttigieg averages 25%, Warren averages 18%, Sanders and Biden each average 17%...
RON’S COMMENT: Since last week in this national poll of Democrats, Biden is up 7 points and Warren is down 4 points. New entry Deval Patrick doesn’t poll anything. Support for Sanders has dwindled to almost nothing among voters 45 and older. Nearly all of...
All five of the latest impeachment polls show more support for impeachment than opposition, but the margin varies from +2 in the latest Marist poll to +8 in the Morning Consult poll. The question wording for these polls vary, which likely accounts for some of...