In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
The stakes for the presidential election are high. 74% of Democratic voters feel their way of life is threatened if Trump is re-elected. Internals: 44% of voters under 35, 51% of women and 54% of nonwhites gave that response....
For women, the cost of healthcare and gun violence rank as the top two issues facing the country today. Climate change also ranks close to the top at 53%. In split-sample experiments, the "cost of healthcare" generated more concern than "access to quality health care.”...
Support for impeachment is up 3 points since CNN last asked the question at the end of September. Now, 87% of Democrats, 50% of independents and 6% of Republicans feel the President should be impeached and removed. Gender and race show wide differences: 40% of...
The demise of Biden’s candidacy may have been exaggerated––at least according to these two polls which give the former VP a clear advantage…. The last debate was Oct. 15 and the SurveyUSA poll was taken Oct. 15-16 and the Politico poll was taken Oct. 16-20…....
This poll was taken after last week’s debate and it shows Biden edging Warren in Iowa with Buttigieg third. It also finds that only 35% of Iowa Democrats say their minds are made up and 64% say they might change their picks before the caucuses....
Iowa has often been a swing state in presidential elections, although Trump carried it in 2016 by more than 9 points. This poll shows it now close either way. Democrats won Iowa in six of the last 10 presidential elections...
29% of voters say that ISIS poses an immediate and serious threat to the U.S. with another 44% saying it's a somewhat serious threat to the US. See how this breaks out by party and voter opinions on Trump's actions in Syria....
With sure-footed skill, Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg went after Elizabeth Warren on her refusal to admit that her Medicare-for-All plan would require tax increases. It left the senator from Massachusetts harried and a bit anxious. It was the first time Democrats threw a punch...
Conflicting Polls Alert! The Politico/Morning Consult poll continues to show Biden clearly on top, while the Quinnipiac poll shows Warren with the lead. There is also a big 8-point difference on Sanders’ strength…. Since the June debates in the Politico poll, Biden has dropped 6...
A new CBS/YouGov poll of Democratic Primary voters in all early voting states (states voting through Super Tuesday) shows Warren leading with 31% support, Biden following with 25%, and Sanders at 17%....