In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 41% (Politico, Reuters) to 47% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would be 44%...
Democrats think both Biden and Warren have an equal chance to beat Trump. This is good news for Warren. Biden’s greatest strength has been perceptions of his general election electability, so if Warren now ties him for that among Democrats, it's a blow to Biden’s...
49% of #voters say Donald Trump puts his #business interests first, while 35% say he puts the interests of the US first. Only 38% of voters think Trump puts the country’s interests ahead of his own business interests––and 7% of Democrats, 29% of independents...
Looking at the favorability of Trump advisors has Rudy Giuliani in the lead, followed by Mike Pompeo, William Barr, and John Bolton. Among Republicans: AG Barr is 55% favorable/14% unfavorable, former National Security Advisor Bolton is 44% favorable/20% unfavorable, former NYC Mayor Giuliani is...
A new surveyof Americans finds that corporate social responsibility is important to the buying decisions of many consumers, but that there is skepticism about the sincerity of these efforts. Seventy percent of consumers want to know what the brands they support are doing to address social...
So far, the Ukraine affair does not appear to have had much or any impact on President Trump's job rating. It should be noted that today’s average is based on polling conducted between Sunday and Wednesday, which means it won’t capture the full impact...
Do you think it is appropriate or inappropriate for the President to threaten withholding foreign aid to a country if that country refuses to take an action which personally benefits the President? Appropriate: 14% Inappropriate: 55% Not sure: 21% RON’S COMMENT: 4% of Democrats, 12% of...
37% impeaching/removing Trump, while 57% are not. This poll was taken as the Ukrainian story was breaking (Thursday through Monday), but before Pelosi’s announcement yesterday to move forward with impeachment. It shows that 4% of Republicans, 73% of Democrats and 34% of independents favor impeachment...
Two polls, both conducted after the most recent debate, show the nomination race becoming a fight between Biden and Warren. Based on this average, Sanders is third and Buttigieg is back in fourth place, a designation he had lost to Harris earlier in the summer…. In...
RON’S COMMENT: Voters side with what would be considered the “pro-environmental” position on every issue. However, there are major differences between Republicans and Democrats––for example: 59% of Democrats and 35% of Republicans support banning hydrofluorocarbons in air conditioners and refrigerators; 10% of Democrats and 56%...