In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
52% of voters nationwide approve of the Affordable Care Act, also known as "Obamacare." 42% disapprove. By party...
North Carolina has become a presidential swing state that Trump carried last time 50-46. This poll shows three Democrats leading him, with Biden doing best...
his new post-debate poll taken for The Economist by YouGov has Biden in first place and Warren in second place. Since last week’s poll, the biggest loser is Harris, down 3 points. The only gainers are Gabbard +1 and Buttigieg +1. Among African Americans, this...
Since the last round of debates, Biden remains on top with Warren in second place, based on the average of these two polls. In the Quinnipiac poll, Warren went from 15% to 21% and Harris dropped from 12% to 7%. While Booker’s debate performance was...
Last night’s debate presented two competing visions for the Democratic Party––one is a pragmatic center-left vision focused on beating Donald Trump. The other is a big-ideas progressive left vision focused on changing the country. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren championed the big-ideas vision, while most of the other candidates advocated, at least in part,...
UK PARTY POLITICS Among voters in Great Britain Political Party Preference: % = Average of last two polls Conservative: 31% Labour: 23% Lib Dems: 19% Brexit: 14% Green: 6% UKIP: 1% SNP: 5% RON’S COMMENT: Now that Theresa May is out and Boris Johnson is in, their Conservative Party is back in first place. In mid-June, the new Brexit Party was...
Which of the following statements comes closest to your views on the origin and development of human beings – Human beings have developed over millions of years from less advanced forms of life, but God guided this process: 33% Human beings have developed over millions of years from less advanced forms...
How would you describe yourself? Very patriotic: 49% Somewhat patriotic: 33% Not very patriotic: 11% Not at all patriotic: 8% RON’S COMMENT: 36% of Democrats, 44% of independents, 72% of Republicans, 25% of 18-29 year-olds and 73% of those 65 and older say they’re very patriotic…. 25%...
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44% Down 2 from yesterday RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on three polls, ranging from 40% (Morning Consult) to 48% (Rasmussen). The third poll has it at 45%...
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45% Same as Friday RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 40% (Politico-Morning Consult) to 50% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 45%...