In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
Two new polls, from CBS and USC, both show Biden leading Trump +10 for the nationwide popular vote in the upcoming 2020 Presidential Election. In the CBS poll, Trump leads Biden on handling the economy 46-45. Biden leads Trump on handling the coronavirus 50-38. 48% say...
A survey was on the Presidential Election conducted by the Military Times and shows Biden leading Trump +4 (41-37) among active duty U.S. military personnel. In October 2016, this survey had Trump leading Hillary Clinton by 20 points. It should be noted that the poll’s sample...
81% of voters think crime is a very or somewhat serious problem in the United States, including 74% of Biden voters and 92% of Trump voters. This Economist poll shows that crime is a big issue across the nation. Democrats who fear even using the word “crime”...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
69% of voters agree with the statement “The political establishment in the United States does not have my best interests in mind.” By party 62% of Republicans, 75% of Democrats and 78% of independents agree that the establishment does not have their best interests in...
Voters that plan to vote early in-person break for Trump by 2 points. Election day in-person voters break heavily for Trump by 20 points. Voters that plan to vote by mail favor Biden by a whopping 39 points. If mail ballots are counted last, it could mean Trump’s strength will max out...
Based on these two polls, there was a Trump bounce, and a tightening of Biden’s trial heat margin. Of course, we don’t know how long this bounce will last or whether other polls will show something different...
Check out what voters think about Joe Biden in today's newsletter! Data is from polls taken between Sunday and Tuesday of this week...
Today's newsletter takes a look at public confidence in mail-in voting. When asked about President Trump's interference, only 36% of voters are very or somewhat confident he will not interfere, versus 50% that are not that confident or not confident at all. ...
Biden continues to carry key states that Trump won in 2016, but his margins are often small. This polling has Florida, Pennsylvania, Arizona and North Carolina within 3 points. Most importantly, these polls were taken right after the Democratic “convention,” when Biden should have been...