LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Final Poll Averages
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 46% Same as yesterday RON’S COMMENT: Election Day and President Trump’s average approval rating is 46%––the exact same percentage of the popular vote he received in 2016––and may receive again?…. Today’s average is based on six polls, ranging from 42% (Reuters) to 49%...
03 November, 2020
LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Debate? What Debate?
How do you analyze an ax fight? -- Last night’s debate was a chaotic mess, a milestone that will mark the collapse of civility in American politics. Applying the normal, staid tools of analysis won’t do it justice. -- Nevertheless, I will try. ...
30 September, 2020
LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Is There a Trump Bounce?
Based on these two polls, there was a Trump bounce, and a tightening of Biden’s trial heat margin. Of course, we don’t know how long this bounce will last or whether other polls will show something different...
31 August, 2020
LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Convention Bounce for Biden?
Nearly two-thirds of Republican voters plan on watching at least some of the Republican "convention." They overwhelmingly want to hear a positive message about their candidate and what a new term would look like. At the convention, 85% of Republican voters would prefer to hear...
24 August, 2020
LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Special Edition––Biden vs. Trump
This is an overview of the 29 national polls testing Biden vs. Trump that were conducted since the Iowa caucus in early February. As you can see, Biden’s general election lead has been remarkably stable throughout this tumultuous nine-week period. These polls were taken by...
10 April, 2020
LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Special Weekend Edition – Trump Handling of Coronavirus
The three most recent national polls, conducted between March 30 and April 2, show President Trump’s approval rating on handling the coronavirus situation has dipped below 50%. This is a noticeable difference from the March 13-22 period, when we reported three polls showing Trump in...
05 April, 2020
Super Tuesday Recap – Updates on California, Texas, North Carolina, Massachusetts – Favorability Ratings
Here’s a quick summary of tomorrow’s 14 state primaries, based on our most recent polling averages: Sanders leads in seven states: California, Texas, Virginia, Massachusetts, Colorado, Vermont and Utah. Biden leads in two states: North Carolina and Oklahoma. Klobuchar leads in one state: Minnesota, her home...
02 March, 2020
Coronavirus – South Carolina Update – Virginia – Colorado – Washington
RON’S COMMENT: Will Joe Biden be the Comeback Kid? According to these polls, he’s headed to a solid victory in South Carolina, his “firewall” state…. The ECU poll, taken after last week’s debate but before this week’s debate, has Biden ahead by 8 points. But…....
27 February, 2020
Special Edition: A Contested Convention for Democrats?
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of power brokers deciding...
30 December, 2019
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