In the aftermath of a closer-than-anticipated general election, pollsters have received no shortage of criticism for "missing" the election's outcome. This criticism is well warranted. The day before the election, our Lunchtime Politics polling avera...
Many recent polls make questionable assumptions about the age of the electorate, often over-representing older voters. The result: polls are likely helping Trump’s performance in the polls and making the race tighter than it may actually be. ...
ICYMI: Check out Dr. Ron Faucheux's conversation with Susan Eisenhower of the Eisenhower Institute at Gettysburg College discussing our nation’s increased polarization, the 2020 election, and the uncertain impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on voting ...
Will Donald Trump be reelected? That question demands one of those complicated “on the one hand” and “on the other hand” answers that most people hate and pundits love. It’s why Harry Truman said he preferred one-armed economists — so the...
ICYMI: Check out Ron Faucheux's thoughts on who will be Joe Biden's running mate for the 2020 Presidential election. Who will be Joe Biden’s running mate? Given Biden’s age, voters will be tempted to view his vice-president as a future presid...
If anything comes out of the coronavirus crisis, it is the glaring need to tackle big, neglected issues. All five priorities are essential to our future. While none are perfect or easy to accomplish, combined, they can fix broken government, create j...
Politics is filled with truisms that aren’t true. Let’s look at some of them...“The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day" the Democratic presidential primary race show otherwise...“All politics are local" that hasn’t been the c...
Michael Bloomberg is not what Democrats want, but he may be what Democrats need. None of Bloomberg’s signature traits -- 77-years-old, former Republican, billionaire -- are on the presidential wish list of most Democrats. What they want is an appe...
About this time in every presidential nomination contest there is talk of a brokered convention. As if on cue, we’re hearing it again. The thought of such a convention races the hearts of political junkies everywhere. It conjures the image of ...
Electability is Joe Biden’s calling card. Without that perceived advantage, his viability as a presidential candidate crumbles...While electability can be a powerful force––it helped George W. Bush, John Kerry and John McCain win nominations–...
Modern communication campaigns require customizing communication strategies for different target audiences. Elite audiences, professionals engaged in key decision making or with high awareness of industry developments are important target audiences f...
[vc_row css_animation="" row_type="row" use_row_as_full_screen_section="no" type="grid" angled_section="no" text_align="left" background_image_as_pattern="without_pattern" z_index=""][vc_column width="1/6"][/vc_column][vc_column width="2/3"][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width" text_align="left" css_animation="" css=".vc_custom_1571759367056{background-color: #ffffff !important;}"][vc_column_inner css=".vc_custom_1570814730355{padding: 0px !important;background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_single_image image="87" img_size="large" alignment="center" qode_css_animation=""][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_custom_heading text="Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, November 3" font_container="tag:h3|font_size:18px|text_align:center|color:%23ffffff|line_height:24px" google_fonts="font_family:Raleway%3A100%2C200%2C300%2Cregular%2C500%2C600%2C700%2C800%2C900|font_style:400%20regular%3A400%3Anormal" css=".vc_custom_1604425316973{background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width"...
[vc_row css_animation="" row_type="row" use_row_as_full_screen_section="no" type="grid" angled_section="no" text_align="left" background_image_as_pattern="without_pattern" z_index=""][vc_column width="1/6"][/vc_column][vc_column width="2/3"][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width" text_align="left" css_animation="" css=".vc_custom_1571759367056{background-color: #ffffff !important;}"][vc_column_inner css=".vc_custom_1570814730355{padding: 0px !important;background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_single_image image="87" img_size="large" alignment="center" qode_css_animation=""][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_custom_heading text="Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, November 2" font_container="tag:h3|font_size:18px|text_align:center|color:%23ffffff|line_height:24px" google_fonts="font_family:Raleway%3A100%2C200%2C300%2Cregular%2C500%2C600%2C700%2C800%2C900|font_style:400%20regular%3A400%3Anormal" css=".vc_custom_1604427857113{background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width"...
Biden’s average national popular vote is 51.3% and Trump’s average national popular vote is 44.2%. That leaves 4.5% undecided or for third-party candidates…. If you assume there is a “hidden” Trump vote of an extra point or two, that would put him at or near...
[vc_row css_animation="" row_type="row" use_row_as_full_screen_section="no" type="grid" angled_section="no" text_align="left" background_image_as_pattern="without_pattern" z_index=""][vc_column width="1/6"][/vc_column][vc_column width="2/3"][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width" text_align="left" css_animation="" css=".vc_custom_1571759367056{background-color: #ffffff !important;}"][vc_column_inner css=".vc_custom_1570814730355{padding: 0px !important;background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_single_image image="87" img_size="large" alignment="center" qode_css_animation=""][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_custom_heading text="Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, October 30" font_container="tag:h3|font_size:18px|text_align:center|color:%23ffffff|line_height:24px" google_fonts="font_family:Raleway%3A100%2C200%2C300%2Cregular%2C500%2C600%2C700%2C800%2C900|font_style:400%20regular%3A400%3Anormal" css=".vc_custom_1604079159688{background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width"...
[vc_row css_animation="" row_type="row" use_row_as_full_screen_section="no" type="grid" angled_section="no" text_align="left" background_image_as_pattern="without_pattern" z_index=""][vc_column width="1/6"][/vc_column][vc_column width="2/3"][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width" text_align="left" css_animation="" css=".vc_custom_1571759367056{background-color: #ffffff !important;}"][vc_column_inner css=".vc_custom_1570814730355{padding: 0px !important;background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_single_image image="87" img_size="large" alignment="center" qode_css_animation=""][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_custom_heading text="Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, October 29" font_container="tag:h3|font_size:18px|text_align:center|color:%23ffffff|line_height:24px" google_fonts="font_family:Raleway%3A100%2C200%2C300%2Cregular%2C500%2C600%2C700%2C800%2C900|font_style:400%20regular%3A400%3Anormal" css=".vc_custom_1603995825686{background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width"...
National polls are all over the place, going from Biden +12 to Trump +1…. There are some interesting excerpts from the Crooked Media/Change Research (D) poll report...
[vc_row css_animation="" row_type="row" use_row_as_full_screen_section="no" type="grid" angled_section="no" text_align="left" background_image_as_pattern="without_pattern" z_index=""][vc_column width="1/6"][/vc_column][vc_column width="2/3"][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width" text_align="left" css_animation="" css=".vc_custom_1571759367056{background-color: #ffffff !important;}"][vc_column_inner css=".vc_custom_1570814730355{padding: 0px !important;background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_single_image image="87" img_size="large" alignment="center" qode_css_animation=""][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_custom_heading text="Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, October 27" font_container="tag:h3|font_size:18px|text_align:center|color:%23ffffff|line_height:24px" google_fonts="font_family:Raleway%3A100%2C200%2C300%2Cregular%2C500%2C600%2C700%2C800%2C900|font_style:400%20regular%3A400%3Anormal" css=".vc_custom_1603819891367{background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width"...
Our seven-poll average has Biden on top, in the same 7- to 9-point range we’ve seen for a while…. The IBD/TIPP poll shows Biden’s support increasing by 3.6 points over the last week and Trump’s support slightly falling. ...
[vc_row css_animation="" row_type="row" use_row_as_full_screen_section="no" type="grid" angled_section="no" text_align="left" background_image_as_pattern="without_pattern" z_index=""][vc_column width="1/6"][/vc_column][vc_column width="2/3"][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width" text_align="left" css_animation="" css=".vc_custom_1571759367056{background-color: #ffffff !important;}"][vc_column_inner css=".vc_custom_1570814730355{padding: 0px !important;background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_single_image image="87" img_size="large" alignment="center" qode_css_animation=""][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_custom_heading text="Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, October 23" font_container="tag:h3|font_size:18px|text_align:center|color:%23ffffff|line_height:24px" google_fonts="font_family:Raleway%3A100%2C200%2C300%2Cregular%2C500%2C600%2C700%2C800%2C900|font_style:400%20regular%3A400%3Anormal" css=".vc_custom_1603477052271{background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width"...
[vc_row css_animation="" row_type="row" use_row_as_full_screen_section="no" type="grid" angled_section="no" text_align="left" background_image_as_pattern="without_pattern" z_index=""][vc_column width="1/6"][/vc_column][vc_column width="2/3"][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width" text_align="left" css_animation="" css=".vc_custom_1571759367056{background-color: #ffffff !important;}"][vc_column_inner css=".vc_custom_1570814730355{padding: 0px !important;background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_single_image image="87" img_size="large" alignment="center" qode_css_animation=""][vc_empty_space height="16px"][vc_custom_heading text="Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, October 22" font_container="tag:h3|font_size:18px|text_align:center|color:%23ffffff|line_height:24px" google_fonts="font_family:Raleway%3A100%2C200%2C300%2Cregular%2C500%2C600%2C700%2C800%2C900|font_style:400%20regular%3A400%3Anormal" css=".vc_custom_1603382815914{background-color: #107aac !important;}"][vc_empty_space height="16px"][/vc_column_inner][/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner row_type="row" type="full_width"...